Real Madrid v Celta Vigo: Expect Mourinho’s men to win by at least three goals

It is a curious quirk of footballing history that Celta Vigo have the best recent record against Real Madrid at the Bernabeu of any team in Spain except Barcelona. The Galicians’ last two away games against Jose Mourinho’s men have both resulted in victories, while in their last five matches at the Bernabeu, Celta have been beaten only once.

Yet Paco Herrera will be paying little attention to those statistics and closer scrutiny to the fact that the team from Vigo have lost every away match they have played so far this season. They are priced at 10/1 to record another shock win on Saturday afternoon, while a home victory can be backed at 3/20.

The quest to find genuine value when backing Real Madrid at home is a long and arduous road, yet there are certain bets which could provide punters with some healthy returns. Those looking for something in which to seriously invest could do worse than take the 1/2 offered on over 1.5 goals in the second half, a bet which has paid out in five of Madrid’s last six home games.

However a more universally appealing bet is to back Madrid -2 at evens, which looks like a fairly sound way for punters to double their money. This has proved the correct selection in four of Madrid’s last five league games at the Bernabeu, and despite Mourinho’s side suffering injury problems, they should still be far too strong for a Celta side which has shown its vulnerability on the road conceding at least twice in each of their away matches. Against Madrid’s formidable attacking line up the Galicians could well be expected to ship even more goals, so a home win by at least three clear goals looks a solid option.

Those looking for some higher odds for a value bet may well be interested in the 333/100 offered for any team to win by exactly three goals. This backs up the initial selection and offers the chance for some decent profit with a smaller investment.