As it is the international break once again (unfortunately), here at bwin we are taking stock of what has happened in the Premier League after seven games and studying the statistics to see if there is anything we can find to help you win a bit more money. And with this article focusing on teams who can’t help but be involved in goal-fests, we have found some great information on Fulham, Southampton, Manchester United, Norwich City, Everton, Chelsea, Swansea City, Tottenham Hotspur, Everton, Liverpool and Reading which could – and probably should – influence your betting decisions when the top-flight action returns.
Goals are the lifeblood of football, the thing that every neutral who sits down on their couch wants to see when they watch a game on the telly. Goals, therefore, are a very popular thing to bet on, as it means you are cheering on every attack and want to see the net bulging at either end.
The Goals Galore tips for all four divisions – where we look to offer three matches which will all feature over 2.5 goals to back in trebles – have proved incredibly popular with bwinbetting readers this season for the reasons outlined above.
But betting on a match to produce goals is not a case of mere luck or picking a game at random that you think will have three or more goals and hoping it will come in.
As you will read below, some teams tend to be involved in high-scoring games more than others and there can be variations in a team’s stats depending on whether they play at home or away. To find out more, just read on…
Seven games in to the new campaign and you may be surprised by the team who have been involved in the most matches that have featured at least three goals.
Yes, it may not immediately spring to mind, but Fulham are the undisputed kings of over 2.5 goals, with all seven of their fixtures producing three or more goals at an average of 3.71 goals per match. Their next fixture is against Aston Villa, and it is 19/10 with bwin that the match produces more than 3.5 goals.
That is the same average as Manchester United, who have seen six of their seven fixtures feature at least three strikes, and you can get 7/5 with bwin on over 3.5 goals being scored when the Red Devils host Stoke City after the international break.
Southampton have also seen six of their seven fixtures hit at least three goals, or far more in most circumstances: matches involving Nigel Adkins’ men currently average 4.57 goals a game – far more than any other side – with four of their games seeing at least five goals. It is 17/4 with bwin for the Saints to play out a match with five goals in their next fixture at West Ham.
Interestingly, Norwich have seen just three of their seven fixtures produce over 2.5 goals, but each one of those has seen at least five goals scored. The Canaries are at home to Arsenal next time out and you can get a price of 17/5 for over 4.5 goals.
Also of interest for anyone betting on goals markets are Manchester City, Swansea City, Everton and Queens Park Rangers, who have all seen five of their seven games produce over 2.5 goals, all at an average well above three goals per match.
Although the above stats give an general trend, these figures can change significantly depending on whether a team is playing home or away and it is useful to know if a side is more prone to serving up entertainment on their own patch or on the road.
Take Manchester United, for example. Every league game at Old Trafford so far has seen over 2.5 goals, with an average of 4.67 goals per match. Two of these matches (against Fulham and Tottenham Hotspur) have seen five goals, and bwin go 16/5 there are more than four goals when Stoke visit next weekend.
Similarly, all four of Swansea’s home games have seen over 2.5 goals scored (3.5 average), while the games at Wigan, Reading and Everton also average over three goals a fixture this year.
Chelsea’s overall statistics – three games with over 2.5 goals at an average of 2.71 goals per game – are significantly higher when their matches at Stamford Bridge are viewed on their own. At home, the Blues have averaged 3.5 goals a match in their four fixtures so far, with two of those games seeing at least five goals.
As well as Fulham and Southampton, Tottenham are the only team who have produced over 2.5 goals in every away fixture this season. There have been 12 goals in Spurs’ three games away from White Hart Lane at an average of four a game.
Teams with a 75% strike rate for over 2.5 goals on the road include Manchester United (three games from four at an average of three a match), Queens Park Rangers (three from four at an average of 3.5 a match) and Everton (again three from four at an average of 3.25 a match). The Toffees travel to QPR in the next round of fixtures and you can get 23/10 with bwin that the match sees four goals or more.
Of those to have played just three away games, Reading and Liverpool have both seen two of those produce over 2.5 goals – the Royals at an average of 3.67 and the Reds at exactly four goals a game. The two meet at Anfield when the Premier League resumes and it is 8/5 with bwin for over 3.5 goals to be scored.
These trends may well change over the course of the season, so make sure that you are always checking the bwinbetting.com Stats Centre to keep up to date with all the latest statistics and information concerning teams and players so you are well informed when you are placing your bets.
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