Segar Says: Coupon busters, puns and an 11/1 Saturday accumulator

As the darkness descends, the eerie figure emerges. It’s just as bad as you always pictured, and yet you can’t help but recoil in terror, as beads of sweat become streams, and you realize that your worst fears have been realized… Peterborough have won at Hull.

Yes, last week saw the accumulator connoisseurs’ worst nightmare rear its ugly head, the dreaded ‘coupon buster’. Nothing against Peterborough, but if they’re going to stop being useless all of a sudden you’d think they’d have the decency to tell the rest of us.

As the only game to go west, and denying this punter a second success in as many weeks, I have licked my wounds and learned my lesson (refer to coupon below to see how long this lasted).

The only thing to do after a narrow miss is to go again, and so this week’s accumulator closely reflects last week. We go for form teams, others in similar scenarios and outright copycatting. If you want to get in on this then by all means use the free £20 bet you receive for opening a bwin account to be in with a chance of winning £244.49.

Right, let’s see, topical reference to send us into the accy… err… something funny yet uncontroversial about the Labour party… probably involving Ed Balls. You do the rest, I’ve got accumulator justifying to do.

Everton to beat Wigan Athletic @ evens

The Toffees always start poorly and finish magnificently. However, this season they have started well, very well, therefore by irrefutable logic, they should win the Premier League at a canter.

Okay that may be pushing it, but there is no denying that David Moyes’ men have been impressive so far this campaign, and find themselves sitting in second place in the table.

Wigan have not been so great, losing four of their six games and scoring just five goals, although they did record a good win at Southampton a few weeks back, and ran Sunderland close at the Stadium of Light last week with just ten men.

However, at the DW Stadium on Saturday all signs point to an away victory, and with Everton having won two of their three away games in 2012/13, the price of evens makes this a cert to kick off this week’s selection.

Southend United to beat Barnet @ 53/100

Here it is, that thing you were looking for that proved I couldn’t resist a potential coupon buster. I know, I know, but Barnet really have been terrible this season, and don’t look like turning it around any time soon (gulp!).

In all seriousness, the Bees have lost all five of their away games in League Two this campaign, scoring just one solitary goal, and it is already looking like this could finally be the season where they fall into the Conference National.

The London club has just two points and sit at the bottom of the Football League. This Saturday they travel to Southend, who have won three of their five games at Roots Hall in 2012/13.

The Shrimpers are in an unremarkable 12^th position, but it would still take a very brave man to bet against them this weekend, especially as they have won the last six meetings between the two, including home and away 3-0 victories last season.

Montpellier to beat Evian @ 7/10

Hopefully it isn’t a damp squib as Montpellier see if they have the minerals to soak up the pressure and make a splash as they face Evian. What a lot of puns – sorry – ‘water’ lot of puns.

The French champions repaid my faith last week as they came in at 29/20 to grab an away win in Nancy, and after rescuing a valuable 2-2 draw in Schalke on Matchday Two of the Champions League with just ten men in midweek, Montpellier look to be returning to the form they showed last season.

Rene Girard has been trying to get back some of the belief his team of underdogs used to upset the odds in Ligue 1 in 2011/12, and with his team getting its groove back, 7/10 on a home win against lowly Evian seems generous to say the least.

The club, based on Thonon-les-Bains, was only formed in 2003, and it was a minor miracle that they managed to gain promotion to the top division in France.

However, after one season of consolidation, they look to be suffering from ‘second season syndrome’ and sit third from bottom in the league with just five points from seven games.

Cardiff City to beat Ipswich Town @ 27/20

League leaders travel to second from bottom in the table, and its 27/20 that they win? Has someone got their maths wrong? (Probably me).

That’s the situation as the Bluebirds, Red Dragons, or whatever they’re called now head to East Anglia to take on Paul Jewell’s stuttering Tractor Boys in the Saturday evening kick-off.

The main reason Cardiff are at relatively long odds may be that their terrific start to the season has mostly been thanks to winning all five of their games at home, while they have won only once in their four away games.

However, Ipswich are yet to register a home win this campaign, with two draws and two defeats to show for their start, and with the pressure piling on poor Mr. Jewell, I expect the form that saw Malky Mackay’s men record a 2-1 midweek victory over Birmingham to see them through this test as well and seal our accumulator up nicely.

That’ll do it for this week, and if Barnet ‘do a Peterborough’ on me this week, then I may have to do something drastic, like tut loudly in a crowd of people.

Happy punting!

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